What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 08 Aug 2009 → 04 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 13 Dec 2025 → 04 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 27 Feb 2010 → 21 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 26 Apr 2026 → 16 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 07 Mar 2015 → 08 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 19 Dec 2008 → 20 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 23 Feb 2025 → 08 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 23 May 2015 → 12 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 11 Aug 2013 → 21 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 31 Aug 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 392 | 102 | 26.0% | 0 | 17 |
| Regionalliga Südwest | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 2025 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 3 |
| 2016 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 9 |
| 2014 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2013 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2012 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2010 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2009 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 17 |
| 2008 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
Over 179 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), VfB Stuttgart II drew 46 where the draw model expected 49.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 49.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.