What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 13 Dec 2017 → 12 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 18 Aug 2024 → 30 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 23 Dec 2000 → 06 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 20 Mar 2016 → 27 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 18 Nov 2001 → 03 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 04 Sep 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 29 Sep 2013 → 08 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 12 Dec 2004 → 20 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 08 May 2004 → 02 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 11 Feb 2012 → 21 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 554 | 148 | 26.7% | 1 | 22 |
| Serie B | 458 | 149 | 32.5% | 2 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 18 |
| 2023 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2022 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 3 |
| 2019 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 21 |
| 2017 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2015 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2012 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2011 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 4 |
| 2006 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2005 | 45 | 21 | 46.7% | 9 |
| 2004 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 2003 | 42 | 19 | 45.2% | 4 |
| 2002 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2001 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 17 |
| 2000 | 32 | 16 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1998 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 1997 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 1996 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1987 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
Over 481 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Hellas Verona drew 139 where the draw model expected 124.6 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 133.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.