Venezuela
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 117 matches (Feb 2015 – Jun 2026), Venezuela drew 31 where the draw model expected 25.1 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 27 Jun 2021 → 27 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 29 Mar 2000 → 28 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 19 Nov 2024 → 27 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 02 Sep 2006 → 25 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 03 Jun 2001 → 01 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 17 May 2002 → 26 Jun 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 22 Jun 1996 → 12 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 18 Jul 1993 → 28 Jan 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 11 Jan 1981 → 20 Sep 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 18 Nov 2014 → 04 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 186 | 47 | 25.3% | 2 | 12 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 176 | 32 | 18.2% | 7 | 12 |
| Copa América | 74 | 18 | 24.3% | 0 | 5 |
| Central American and Caribbean Games | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Bolivarian Games | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Brazil Independence Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2023 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 3 |
| 2018 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 2016 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2015 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2013 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2012 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2011 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2010 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 3 |
| 2009 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 3 |
| 2008 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2005 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 6 |
| 2002 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2001 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2000 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 13 |
| 1999 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1996 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1995 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1988 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1946 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1944 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
