What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 15 Aug 2026 → 01 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 13 Dec 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 26 Sep 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 27 Feb 2022 → 08 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 16 Mar 2001 → 03 Jun 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 15 May 2004 → 25 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 14 Apr 2024 → 18 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 21 Dec 2003 → 15 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 02 Dec 2001 → 20 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 28 Nov 1999 → 23 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 470 | 151 | 32.1% | 1 | 11 |
| Serie A | 188 | 49 | 26.1% | 10 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 13 |
| 2025 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2023 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 11 |
| 2022 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2021 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2020 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2017 | 22 | 11 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2004 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2003 | 42 | 18 | 42.9% | 7 |
| 2002 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2000 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 1999 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 1998 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 5 |
| 1997 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 8 |
Over 379 matches (Aug 2017 – Nov 2026), Venezia drew 114 where the draw model expected 108.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 114.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.