What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 16 Sep 2012 → 08 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 04 Oct 2015 → 22 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 11 Dec 2020 → 20 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 26 Feb 2025 → 14 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 15 Sep 2022 → 03 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 27 Aug 2016 → 13 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Nov 2024 → 02 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 17 Aug 2024 → 05 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 Aug 2019 → 20 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 Apr 2017 → 25 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 419 | 124 | 29.6% | 0 | 18 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 71 | 21 | 29.6% | 0 | 12 |
| Copa Argentina | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 0 | 8 |
| Supercopa Argentina | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 5 |
| 2025 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2024 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 10 |
| 2021 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2020 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 8 |
| 2018 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 5 |
| 2017 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 2015 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2012 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 426 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Vélez Sarsfield drew 129 where the draw model expected 132.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 128.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.