Vejle BK
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 234 matches (Aug 2015 – Jul 2026), Vejle BK drew 66 where the draw model expected 56.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 57.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 05 Oct 2025 → 10 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 06 May 2024 → 30 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 23 Jul 2023 → 17 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 12 May 2022 → 01 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 03 Dec 2018 → 03 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 19 May 1977 → 04 Oct 1977 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 19 Apr 2026 → 17 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 26 Jul 2025 → 29 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 06 Aug 2021 → 12 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 21 Apr 2019 → 10 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 194 | 54 | 27.8% | 6 | 15 |
| Danish Cup | 61 | 13 | 21.3% | 4 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 6 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2024 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 12 |
| 2023 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 9 |
| 2022 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2020 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2018 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 4 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1998 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 10:00 |
AC Horsens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.