What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 29 Aug 2026 → 28 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 19 Aug 2025 → 15 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 28 Jul 2024 → 22 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 01 Apr 2024 → 15 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 24 May 2026 → 12 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 28 Oct 2024 → 02 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 24 Jul 2026 → 14 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 26 Apr 2026 → 09 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 02 Jun 2024 → 14 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 17 Feb 2024 → 25 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swedish Cup | 65 | 10 | 15.4% | 3 | 3 |
| Allsvenskan | 56 | 10 | 17.9% | 8 | 9 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2023 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 101 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Västerås SK drew 19 where the draw model expected 22.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 22.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.