What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 29 Sep 2002 → 05 Jan 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 02 Mar 2003 → 25 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 12 Jan 2002 → 03 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 13 Apr 2002 → 15 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 09 Sep 2001 → 27 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 13 Mar 1998 → 18 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 21 Dec 1997 → 25 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 25 Nov 2001 → 15 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 16 Oct 2022 → 10 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 03 May 1998 → 17 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 102 | 25 | 24.5% | 0 | 12 |
| Taça de Portugal | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2002 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 11 |
| 2001 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1998 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 2 |
Over 112 matches (Aug 1997 – Sep 2026), Varzim SC drew 27 where the draw model expected 28.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.