What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 23 Apr 2012 → 08 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 25 Mar 2014 → 17 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 09 Nov 2013 → 21 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 30 Sep 2011 → 01 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 25 Apr 2015 → 22 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 10 Nov 2012 → 23 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 27 Nov 2010 → 15 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 28 Feb 2015 → 23 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 30 May 2014 → 07 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 19 Jan 2013 → 09 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 210 | 67 | 31.9% | 6 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 2014 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2013 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 8 |
| 2012 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2011 | 43 | 19 | 44.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2009 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 225 matches (Aug 2009 – Aug 2026), Varese Calcio drew 70 where the draw model expected 69.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 70.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.