What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 05 Jun 2023 → 22 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 10 Oct 2022 → 06 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 21 Nov 2021 → 20 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 19 Apr 2021 → 23 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 13 Aug 2020 → 21 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 16 Aug 2021 → 20 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 22 May 2022 → 09 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 02 Nov 2020 → 06 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 29 Jun 2020 → 16 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 06 Nov 2023 → 24 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 122 | 30 | 24.6% | 2 | 17 |
| Swedish Cup | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 18 |
| 2022 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 2021 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 166 matches (Feb 2015 – Mar 2026), Varbergs BoIS drew 39 where the draw model expected 38.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 38.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.