What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 12 Dec 1999 → 11 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 23 Mar 1997 → 31 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 02 Apr 1995 → 17 Sep 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 14 Aug 1994 → 23 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 01 Apr 2000 → 20 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 01 Mar 1998 → 19 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 06 Nov 1994 → 23 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 19 Oct 1997 → 03 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 08 Sep 1996 → 13 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 27 Oct 1996 → 24 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 170 | 39 | 22.9% | 8 | 13 |
| Turkish Cup | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 11 |
| 1999 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 12 |
| 1996 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1995 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 1994 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 10 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 189 matches (Oct 1990 – Nov 2000), Vanspor FK drew 40 where the draw model expected 45.9 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 46.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.