What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 26 Nov 2011 → 25 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 16 Feb 1997 → 22 Jun 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 20 Dec 2014 → 26 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 09 Apr 2023 → 15 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 17 Jan 1998 → 12 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 14 Sep 2014 → 13 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 19 Aug 2013 → 24 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 07 Apr 2018 → 22 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 16 Sep 2001 → 02 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 30 Nov 2012 → 24 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 702 | 167 | 23.8% | 2 | 31 |
| Segunda División | 420 | 128 | 30.5% | 4 | 15 |
| Copa del Rey | 63 | 21 | 33.3% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Conference League | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 11 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2025 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2024 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 16 |
| 2022 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 8 |
| 2018 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 13 |
| 2017 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2016 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | 17 |
| 2014 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 14 |
| 2013 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 14 |
| 2012 | 41 | 2 | 4.9% | 24 |
| 2011 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 7 |
| 2010 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2009 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 9 |
| 2008 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 8 |
| 2007 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2004 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2002 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2001 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 13 |
| 2000 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 1999 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 1998 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 15 |
| 1997 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 20 |
| 1996 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 1995 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 1994 | 22 | 11 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 6 |
Over 533 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Rayo Vallecano drew 153 where the draw model expected 142.2 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 143.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.