What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 29 Aug 1998 → 07 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 05 Oct 1996 → 15 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 01 Apr 1997 → 17 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 03 Aug 2002 → 14 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 14 Apr 1999 → 29 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 02 Aug 2003 → 23 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 10 Aug 1996 → 27 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 08 May 2004 → 22 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 29 Jan 2003 → 08 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 28 Sep 2002 → 26 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 236 | 80 | 33.9% | 4 | 12 |
| Coupe de France | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 2003 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 2002 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2000 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1999 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 1998 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 12 |
| 1997 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 1996 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 10 |
Over 238 matches (Aug 1996 – Jan 2012), AS Valence drew 81 where the draw model expected 74.1 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 73.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.