What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 04 Jul 2026 → 24 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 24 Apr 2021 → 21 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 28 Nov 2020 → 20 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 19 Apr 2015 → 16 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 05 Aug 2025 → 09 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 14 Mar 2021 → 18 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 19 Aug 2019 → 04 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 02 Jun 2017 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 29 Apr 2017 → 20 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 11 Mar 2017 → 15 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 157 | 43 | 27.4% | 11 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 66 | 14 | 21.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Swiss Cup | 59 | 8 | 13.6% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 14 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2021 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 6 |
| 2020 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2019 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 5 |
| 2016 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 5 |
| 2015 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2014 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 5 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 177 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Vaduz drew 44 where the draw model expected 41.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 43.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.