What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 25 Apr 1999 → 05 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 07 Apr 2023 → 22 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 20 Jan 2013 → 12 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 15 Mar 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 06 Oct 2013 → 25 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 29 Sep 2019 → 22 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 18 Jul 2025 → 20 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 24 Aug 2024 → 01 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 08 Feb 1998 → 11 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 22 Sep 2021 → 04 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 1124 | 294 | 26.2% | 1 | 21 |
| UEFA Europa League | 68 | 19 | 27.9% | 4 | 6 |
| KNVB Cup | 52 | 5 | 9.6% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 15 |
| 2025 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 12 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 2023 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 16 |
| 2022 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2020 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 4 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2018 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2017 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2016 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2014 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 16 |
| 2012 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2011 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2010 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 8 |
| 2009 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 5 |
| 2008 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2007 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2006 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 11 |
| 2005 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2004 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2003 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2001 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2000 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 1999 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 21 |
| 1998 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 1997 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 9 |
| 1996 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 6 |
| 1995 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 1994 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 1993 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 459 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Utrecht drew 123 where the draw model expected 98.6 from those particular fixtures — about 24 more, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 104.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.