What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 25 Aug 2025 → 15 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 29 Apr 2018 → 24 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 27 Jan 2019 → 10 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 14 Oct 2017 → 03 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 24 Mar 2019 → 05 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 21 Dec 2025 → 01 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 11 Feb 2018 → 11 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 30 Jul 2017 → 23 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 08 Mar 2026 → 29 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 30 Dec 2017 → 28 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 110 | 26 | 23.6% | 0 | 14 |
| Coppa Italia | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2025 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 14 |
| 2019 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 14 |
| 2017 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 111 matches (Jul 2017 – Apr 2026), US Siracusa drew 26 where the draw model expected 34.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 33.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.