What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 23 Jul 2016 → 29 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 07 Aug 2026 → 25 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 13 Jul 2013 → 14 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 30 Mar 2024 → 15 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 21 Mar 2021 → 22 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 04 Jun 2017 → 29 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 06 Aug 2025 → 20 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 02 Apr 2025 → 06 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 05 Apr 2019 → 26 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 20 Oct 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 502 | 132 | 26.3% | 11 | 12 |
| Emperor's Cup | 68 | 11 | 16.2% | 2 | 6 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 2025 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2019 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2016 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 2015 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2013 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 2012 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 440 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Urawa Red Diamonds drew 111 where the draw model expected 112.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 107.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.