What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 Aug 2014 → 07 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 30 Nov 2016 → 08 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 10 Apr 2022 → 06 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 22 Oct 2023 → 09 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 20 Aug 2022 → 24 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 30 Nov 2013 → 18 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 21 Mar 2015 → 04 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 11 Mar 2023 → 23 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 04 Nov 2018 → 02 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 17 Oct 2015 → 27 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 334 | 92 | 27.5% | 3 | 16 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 |
| 2023 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 11 |
| 2021 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 4 |
| 2020 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 5 |
| 2019 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2018 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 5 |
| 2017 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2016 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 2014 | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | 15 |
| 2013 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 3 |
Over 289 matches (Mar 2015 – Feb 2026), Ural Yekaterinburg drew 84 where the draw model expected 77.9 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 74.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.