What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 25 Nov 2023 → 01 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 12 Aug 2017 → 27 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 15 Aug 2004 → 12 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 01 Oct 2011 → 25 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 29 Oct 2008 → 14 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 19 Aug 1995 → 25 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 28 Jul 2012 → 30 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 20 Sep 2005 → 16 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 03 Apr 2005 → 28 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 23 Jan 2021 → 20 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 494 | 126 | 25.5% | 3 | 27 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 306 | 81 | 26.5% | 5 | 16 |
| Bundesliga | 68 | 19 | 27.9% | 2 | 8 |
| Regionalliga Bayern | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 1 | 4 |
| DFB-Pokal | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 24 |
| 2023 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 4 |
| 2021 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2019 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 6 |
| 2017 | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | 17 |
| 2016 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2012 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2011 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 11 |
| 2010 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2009 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2007 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 10 |
| 2006 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2005 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 12 |
| 2004 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 16 |
| 2003 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2002 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2001 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 1999 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 1997 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 1996 | 32 | 18 | 56.3% | 5 |
| 1995 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 14 |
Over 289 matches (Feb 2015 – Jul 2025), SpVgg Unterhaching drew 78 where the draw model expected 78.2 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 78.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.