What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 04 Sep 2015 → 15 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 13 Feb 1990 → 17 Oct 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 14 Oct 2025 → 06 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 29 May 2013 → 15 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 16 Nov 2020 → 01 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 02 Jun 2007 → 19 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 12 Oct 2024 → 22 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 17 Mar 1973 → 15 Nov 1973 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 02 Sep 2011 → 30 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 20 Jul 1995 → 12 Jun 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 395 | 89 | 22.5% | 11 | 15 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 136 | 28 | 20.6% | 2 | 9 |
| Gold Cup | 96 | 13 | 13.5% | 2 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 5 | 5 |
| Copa América | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 3 | 6 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 20 | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 4 |
| USA Cup | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 1 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Confederations Cup | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| NAFC Championship | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Miami Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter-Allied Games | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Korea Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Olympic Games | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Joe Robbie Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| NAFU Championship | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Marlboro Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | 13 |
| 2025 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 9 |
| 2024 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2023 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2022 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2021 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 13 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2017 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 2016 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 15 |
| 2015 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 5 |
| 2014 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2013 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 16 |
| 2012 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 2011 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2010 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2009 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 10 |
| 2008 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2007 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 14 |
| 2006 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2005 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2003 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2002 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 10 |
| 2001 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 |
| 1999 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 1998 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 3 |
| 1996 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1995 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1994 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 7 |
| 1993 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 1992 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 1991 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 1990 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 17 |
| 1989 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1988 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1984 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 2 |
| 1975 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1965 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1956 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1949 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1928 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1919 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1916 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1886 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1885 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 184 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), United States drew 34 where the draw model expected 38.4 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 41.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.