What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 12 May 2019 → 27 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 30 Oct 2016 → 11 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 20 Mar 2015 → 04 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 18 May 2014 → 23 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 14 Mar 2021 → 25 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 23 Nov 2020 → 27 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 30 Oct 2017 → 10 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 13 Mar 2016 → 24 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 09 Aug 2015 → 19 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 26 Aug 2021 → 03 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 246 | 81 | 32.9% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2021 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 6 |
| 2020 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 5 |
| 2019 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 33 | 15 | 45.5% | 4 |
| 2017 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 7 |
Over 233 matches (Mar 2015 – May 2022), Ufa drew 79 where the draw model expected 65.0 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 59.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.