What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 04 Apr 1996 → 04 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 01 Sep 2018 → 02 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 08 Mar 1997 → 11 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 26 Jan 2020 → 30 May 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 28 Jul 1993 → 18 Sep 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 18 Apr 1999 → 28 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 16 Aug 1998 → 21 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 18 Nov 1995 → 01 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 12 Nov 1994 → 25 Feb 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 17 Oct 2020 → 14 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 140 | 36 | 25.7% | 1 | 10 |
| 3. Liga | 114 | 29 | 25.4% | 0 | 17 |
| Bundesliga | 68 | 22 | 32.4% | 9 | 9 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| DFB-Pokal | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Niederrheinpokal | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2018 | 20 | 1 | 5.0% | 15 |
| 1999 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 1998 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 1996 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 18 |
| 1995 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 1994 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 1993 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 1986 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 117 matches (Jul 2018 – Mar 2024), KFC Uerdingen 05 drew 29 where the draw model expected 32.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 31.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.