What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 09 Mar 2019 → 05 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 01 May 2023 → 28 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 12 Aug 2022 → 21 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 15 Jul 2019 → 07 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 29 Aug 2014 → 31 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 27 Jul 2012 → 21 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 23 Jul 2021 → 18 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 02 Jun 2014 → 01 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 01 Apr 2013 → 10 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 17 Jun 2022 → 29 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 215 | 38 | 17.7% | 5 | 18 |
| FAI Cup | 100 | 22 | 22.0% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 14 |
| 2022 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 18 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2013 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2012 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2011 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1939 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 143 matches (May 2015 – Aug 2026), UCD drew 19 where the draw model expected 31.7 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 2.6 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 35.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.