What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 04 Mar 2026 → 05 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 14 Mar 2018 → 15 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 17 Sep 2021 → 06 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 24 Jul 2021 → 05 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 18 Jan 2026 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 30 Sep 2025 → 01 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 26 Jan 2022 → 20 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 24 Aug 2025 → 17 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 23 Apr 2022 → 14 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 12 Mar 2022 → 10 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 89 | 22 | 24.7% | 0 | 16 |
| Regionalliga Nord | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 0 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 16 |
| 2025 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2022 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2021 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 125 matches (Jul 2017 – Oct 2026), TSV Havelse drew 31 where the draw model expected 30.6 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 33.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.