What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 16 Apr 2001 → 19 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 16 May 1990 → 15 Aug 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 17 Aug 2025 → 13 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 16 Jul 2023 → 26 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 13 May 1999 → 04 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 28 Apr 2019 → 14 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 29 May 1988 → 21 Aug 1988 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 25 Apr 2004 → 20 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 04 May 2025 → 27 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 26 Aug 2012 → 28 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 1011 | 253 | 25.0% | 2 | 19 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 217 | 40 | 18.4% | 3 | 6 |
| 1. divisjon | 90 | 15 | 16.7% | 2 | 18 |
| UEFA Europa League | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 1 | 9 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 14 |
| 2024 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 6 |
| 2023 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 16 |
| 2022 | 33 | 14 | 42.4% | 5 |
| 2021 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 5 |
| 2020 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 14 |
| 2018 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2016 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2015 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2013 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2011 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2010 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2009 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2008 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2007 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2006 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 10 |
| 2004 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2003 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 6 |
| 2002 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2001 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 24 |
| 2000 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 1999 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 15 |
| 1998 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1996 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 1995 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 10 |
| 1994 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 9 |
| 1993 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1992 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 1991 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 7 |
| 1990 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 17 |
| 1989 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 8 |
| 1988 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 14 |
| 1987 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 4 |
| 1986 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 6 |
| 1985 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Over 402 matches (Apr 2015 – Nov 2026), Tromsø IL drew 94 where the draw model expected 90.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 91.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.