What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 29 Nov 2025 → 03 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 16 Feb 2008 → 19 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 08 Sep 2019 → 26 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 13 Mar 2025 → 23 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 25 Nov 2023 → 20 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 16 Feb 2022 → 26 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 14 Dec 2009 → 15 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 14 Jan 2005 → 06 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 23 Sep 2020 → 21 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 14 Apr 2019 → 25 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 378 | 123 | 32.5% | 7 | 11 |
| Serie C | 316 | 90 | 28.5% | 3 | 15 |
| Coppa Italia | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 11 |
| 2025 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2023 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 8 |
| 2018 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 5 |
| 2017 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 8 |
| 2010 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2009 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 2008 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 11 |
| 2007 | 47 | 18 | 38.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 9 |
| 2004 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2003 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
Over 325 matches (Jul 2017 – Apr 2026), US Triestina drew 92 where the draw model expected 100.9 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 97.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.