What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 03 Nov 2023 → 13 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 03 Oct 2021 → 07 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 12 Nov 2022 → 11 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 18 Apr 2025 → 31 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 13 Mar 2025 → 05 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 23 Dec 2022 → 29 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 24 Apr 2022 → 17 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 07 Feb 2026 → 22 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 19 Jan 2025 → 10 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 07 Dec 2024 → 05 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 190 | 67 | 35.3% | 0 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2024 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 4 |
| 2023 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2021 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 7 |
Over 194 matches (Aug 2021 – Aug 2026), Trento drew 67 where the draw model expected 61.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 58.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.