What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 16 Jun 2020 → 09 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 12 Apr 2014 → 11 Jun 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 29 Jun 2018 → 17 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 31 Aug 2014 → 02 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 12 May 2010 → 25 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 29 Apr 2012 → 20 Jun 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 27 Jun 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 08 May 2026 → 17 Jun 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 27 Sep 2020 → 04 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 28 Jun 2012 → 29 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veikkausliiga | 192 | 49 | 25.5% | 4 | 13 |
| Finnish Cup | 68 | 19 | 27.9% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 15 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 2017 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 14 |
| 2013 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2012 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 8 |
| 2011 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2005 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 114 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), TPS Turku drew 32 where the draw model expected 27.3 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.