What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 Oct 1996 → 31 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 24 Sep 2019 → 01 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 01 Mar 2014 → 12 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 30 Aug 2014 → 11 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 31 Aug 1999 → 06 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 10 Jan 1998 → 14 Mar 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 14 Oct 2007 → 07 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 29 Sep 2001 → 01 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 06 Jan 2001 → 23 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 20 Sep 1995 → 18 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 820 | 247 | 30.1% | 14 | 18 |
| National League | 445 | 111 | 24.9% | 0 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 208 | 48 | 23.1% | 1 | 4 |
| League Cup | 120 | 32 | 26.7% | 1 | 4 |
| League One | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 5 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 7 |
| 2021 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 17 |
| 2018 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 6 |
| 2016 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 9 |
| 2015 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 6 |
| 2014 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 16 |
| 2013 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 11 |
| 2011 | 55 | 19 | 34.6% | 8 |
| 2010 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2009 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 11 |
| 2008 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 2006 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 9 |
| 2005 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 10 |
| 2003 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 7 |
| 2002 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2001 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2000 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 1999 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 13 |
| 1998 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 1997 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 6 |
| 1996 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 16 |
| 1995 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 12 |
| 1994 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 11 |
| 1993 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1990 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1989 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1988 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1970 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1932 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
Over 331 matches (Jan 2015 – Apr 2023), Torquay United drew 84 where the draw model expected 86.4 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 83.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.