What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 02 Apr 2023 → 03 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 07 Aug 2022 → 17 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 16 Aug 2014 → 29 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 05 Aug 1990 → 04 Oct 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 04 Oct 1967 → 03 Apr 1968 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 15 Oct 2022 → 12 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 01 Oct 1986 → 18 Mar 1987 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 05 Aug 1975 → 09 Sep 1975 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 21 Mar 2015 → 08 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 03 Nov 2014 → 22 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 62 | 17 | 27.4% | 10 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2023 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 2022 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2015 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 3 |
| 2014 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2003 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1968 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 136 matches (Sep 1966 – Jun 2026), Torpedo Moscow drew 39 where the draw model expected 31.8 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 32.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.