What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 24 Apr 2005 → 24 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 3 | 20 May 2007 → 27 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 3 | 10 May 2006 → 08 Jun 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 3 | 19 Oct 2005 → 30 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 3 | 01 Jul 1947 → 17 Aug 1947 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 3 | 01 Jul 1939 → 15 Aug 1939 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 3 | 01 Aug 1935 → 01 Sep 1935 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 01 Aug 1930 → 01 Sep 1930 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 2 | 13 Apr 2016 → 27 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 01 May 2011 → 11 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwegian Football Cup | 107 | 14 | 13.1% | 1 | 3 |
| 1. divisjon | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 3 | 18 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 21 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1938 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1919 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1918 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 137 matches (Jul 1918 – May 2019), Tønsbergs TF drew 21 where the draw model expected 20.5 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 22.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.