ESP · Club

CD Toledo

CD Toledo
Played 173
Draw % 26.0%
No-draw N 1
Max streak 14 23 Mar 1997 → 14 Sep 1997
Avg top run 8.0 top 10
Draw debt E 0.22
p50 22.0%
p100 22.0%
Draw score 0.120 rank #1,353 Draws 45
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,489 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,565 reached 6 Dec 1998
Rank #6,233 of 14,595 clubs
Matches rated 173 last 28 Oct 2025

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
L D L D W L W L W L L L L L D W L W D D W L L W W W L D L L

Over 173 matches (Sep 1996 – Oct 2025), CD Toledo drew 45 where the draw model expected 52.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 51.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
# Run From → To
1 14 23 Mar 1997 → 14 Sep 1997 ▸ matches
2 12 16 May 1999 → 26 Sep 1999 ▸ matches
3 10 13 Feb 2000 → 16 Apr 2000 ▸ matches
4 9 29 Mar 1998 → 16 May 1998 ▸ matches
5 8 06 Dec 1998 → 31 Jan 1999 ▸ matches
6 7 31 Jan 1998 → 11 Mar 1998 ▸ matches
7 6 13 Feb 1999 → 21 Mar 1999 ▸ matches
8 5 24 Oct 1999 → 21 Nov 1999 ▸ matches
9 5 22 Sep 1996 → 27 Oct 1996 ▸ matches
10 4 31 Aug 2016 → 30 Nov 2016 ▸ matches
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%NMax
Segunda División 164 44 26.8% 1 14
Copa del Rey 9 1 11.1% 1 4
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2025 1 0 0.0% 1
2017 1 0 0.0% 1
2016 5 1 20.0% 4
2014 1 0 0.0% 1
2008 1 0 0.0% 1
2000 23 6 26.1% 10
1999 44 9 20.5% 12
1998 39 11 28.2% 9
1997 42 12 28.6% 14
1996 16 6 37.5% 5
Matches all results ›