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· ITL · Club Friendlies
Team ☆
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JPN · Club
Tokushima Vortis
Tokushima Vortis
Played
116
Draw %
16.4%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
13
10 Mar 2021 → 15 May 2021
Avg top run
6.9
top 10
Draw debt E
0.15
p50
14.0%
p100
15.0%
Draw score
0.096
rank #1,560
Draws
19
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,503
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,532
reached 14 Apr 2021
Rank
#3,371
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
116
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 116 matches (Oct 2005 – Oct 2026), Tokushima Vortis drew 19 where the draw model expected 27.0 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 13
10 Mar 2021 → 15 May 2021
2 12
01 Mar 2014 → 06 May 2014
3 10
09 Aug 2021 → 16 Oct 2021
4 10
09 Aug 2014 → 05 Oct 2014
5 5
03 Nov 2021 → 04 Dec 2021
6 5
09 Jun 2021 → 07 Jul 2021
7 5
22 Oct 2014 → 29 Nov 2014
8 4
29 Aug 2015 → 11 Nov 2015
9 3
27 Aug 2016 → 22 Sep 2016
10 2
11 Jun 2025 → 16 Jul 2025
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 10 Mar 2021 → 15 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 01 Mar 2014 → 06 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 09 Aug 2021 → 16 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 09 Aug 2014 → 05 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 03 Nov 2021 → 04 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 09 Jun 2021 → 07 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 22 Oct 2014 → 29 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 29 Aug 2015 → 11 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 27 Aug 2016 → 22 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 11 Jun 2025 → 16 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 75 | 13 | 17.3% | 5 | 13 |
| Emperor's Cup | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 13 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 12 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
116 matches · page 1 / 3
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