What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 16 Apr 2025 → 27 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 21 Jul 2024 → 02 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 14 Sep 2022 → 30 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 24 Jul 2019 → 01 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 28 Apr 2018 → 10 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 20 Aug 2016 → 04 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 21 Jun 2022 → 11 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 06 Aug 2020 → 10 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 09 Sep 2017 → 04 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 27 Jun 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 375 | 104 | 27.7% | 5 | 12 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 72 | 16 | 22.2% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2024 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 12 |
| 2023 | 33 | 16 | 48.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2021 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 2020 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2018 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 11 |
| 2017 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 8 |
| 2016 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 9 |
| 2015 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2014 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 373 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Tianjin Jinmen Tiger drew 102 where the draw model expected 94.0 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 93.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.