What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 28 Sep 2019 → 15 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 04 Sep 2025 → 20 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 19 Nov 2017 → 11 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 18 Oct 2015 → 20 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 12 Apr 2014 → 02 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 22 Jul 2012 → 06 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 03 Aug 2005 → 22 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 21 Apr 2018 → 18 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 06 Sep 2026 → 25 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 08 Mar 2026 → 14 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 341 | 83 | 24.3% | 6 | 22 |
| Swiss Cup | 241 | 47 | 19.5% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 2 | 12 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Challenge League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 9 |
| 2025 | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | 15 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2018 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2017 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 7 |
| 2015 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2013 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 12 |
| 2011 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 2004 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2003 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1971 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1954 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1944 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1942 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 303 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Thun drew 70 where the draw model expected 70.0 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 72.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.