What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 14 Feb 2015 → 28 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 07 Oct 2014 → 22 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 4 | 06 Apr 2015 → 25 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 16 Sep 2014 → 30 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 16 Mar 2013 → 30 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 29 Jan 2013 → 12 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 3 | 04 Jan 2015 → 27 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 02 Dec 2014 → 20 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 30 Aug 2014 → 09 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 12 Aug 2014 → 23 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 92 | 26 | 28.3% | 4 | 10 |
| FA Cup | 59 | 13 | 22.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 10 |
| 2014 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 4 |
| 2012 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% | 3 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 151 matches (Nov 1925 – Apr 2015), Telford United drew 39 where the draw model expected 36.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 36.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.