What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13 Mar 2000 → 25 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 10 Sep 2022 → 10 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 18 Mar 2023 → 06 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 13 Sep 1998 → 02 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 18 Sep 1993 → 30 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 26 Sep 1999 → 30 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 19 Mar 1999 → 25 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 26 Jan 2023 → 24 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 13 Nov 1998 → 06 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 31 Jul 1998 → 15 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 106 | 31 | 29.3% | 13 | 13 |
| Regionalliga Nordost | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 2 | 12 |
| DFB-Pokal | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2022 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 12 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 13 |
| 1999 | 33 | 14 | 42.4% | 5 |
| 1998 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 1994 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 3 |
| 1993 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 7 |
Over 143 matches (Jul 1993 – May 2023), Tennis Borussia Berlin drew 35 where the draw model expected 38.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 38.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.