Tanzania
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 109 matches (Mar 2015 – Mar 2026), Tanzania drew 33 where the draw model expected 27.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 11 Nov 2009 → 07 Jun 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 10 Sep 2024 → 25 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 09 Oct 2011 → 10 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 06 Sep 2008 → 13 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 16 Apr 1979 → 11 Aug 1979 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 26 Mar 2000 → 15 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 08 Jan 1995 → 30 Jul 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 03 Sep 1994 → 05 Dec 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 18 Nov 1992 → 16 Jan 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 18 May 2015 → 28 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 267 | 80 | 30.0% | 2 | 6 |
| CECAFA Cup | 135 | 33 | 24.4% | 3 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 105 | 29 | 27.6% | 5 | 10 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 2 | 4 |
| African Cup of Nations | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 1 | 3 |
| COSAFA Cup | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 0 | 3 |
| Nile Basin Tournament | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| All-African Games | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Mapinduzi Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2024 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2023 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2022 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2021 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2019 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2017 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 3 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2014 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 |
| 2012 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 2010 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2009 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 7 |
| 2008 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2004 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2001 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1999 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1997 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1996 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 1995 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1994 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1993 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1991 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1990 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 2 |
| 1983 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 1 |
| 1982 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1981 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1974 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1972 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1970 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1969 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1968 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1962 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
