What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 18 Aug 2012 → 06 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 18 Oct 2025 → 03 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 24 Sep 2005 → 10 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 24 Feb 2026 → 03 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 26 Aug 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 05 Feb 2011 → 19 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 12 Sep 2026 → 31 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 15 Mar 2025 → 26 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 25 Feb 2014 → 25 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 03 Oct 2009 → 28 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 423 | 112 | 26.5% | 9 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2025 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 12 |
| 2024 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 10 |
| 2014 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 2012 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 16 |
| 2011 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2010 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% | 8 |
| 2007 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2006 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 12 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 112 matches (Aug 2024 – Oct 2026), Tamworth drew 28 where the draw model expected 29.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.