What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 28 Aug 2021 → 07 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 13 Apr 2021 → 10 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 13 Aug 2016 → 08 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 06 Apr 2026 → 15 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 28 Sep 2024 → 30 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 05 Nov 2017 → 30 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 26 Sep 2023 → 04 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 27 Aug 2022 → 15 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 22 Mar 2022 → 07 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 22 Dec 2018 → 16 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 326 | 92 | 28.2% | 4 | 13 |
| League Two | 138 | 38 | 27.5% | 0 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 60 | 13 | 21.7% | 0 | 4 |
| League Cup | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2025 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 19 |
| 2020 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2019 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2016 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 13 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 488 matches (Aug 2016 – Oct 2026), Sutton United drew 135 where the draw model expected 131.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 126.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.