What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 02 Nov 1997 → 29 Mar 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 07 Jun 1998 → 16 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 02 Apr 2016 → 05 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 03 Sep 2013 → 26 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 16 Apr 1994 → 25 May 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 01 Apr 2017 → 20 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 23 Sep 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 21 Mar 2015 → 09 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 09 Aug 2014 → 13 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 08 Apr 2001 → 20 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 208 | 59 | 28.4% | 7 | 12 |
| 3. Liga | 190 | 55 | 29.0% | 7 | 8 |
| Regionalliga Südwest | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 | 7 |
| DFB-Pokal | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2016 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 8 |
| 2015 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2014 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2012 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 2009 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2008 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2000 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 1999 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 1997 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 1996 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 1994 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 8 |
| 1993 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 7 |
Over 439 matches (Jul 1993 – Oct 2022), Stuttgarter Kickers drew 127 where the draw model expected 124.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.