What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 Jul 2018 → 22 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 28 Oct 2023 → 03 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 12 Aug 2006 → 18 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 11 Oct 2014 → 17 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 23 Dec 2017 → 24 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Dec 2011 → 10 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 21 Feb 2009 → 02 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 13 Dec 2003 → 23 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 30 Aug 2003 → 29 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 09 Sep 2000 → 25 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 612 | 149 | 24.3% | 3 | 18 |
| Scottish League Two | 410 | 102 | 24.9% | 1 | 14 |
| Scottish League Cup | 66 | 10 | 15.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Scottish Championship | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 3 | 8 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2025 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 11 |
| 2023 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2022 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 6 |
| 2018 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 23 |
| 2017 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2016 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2015 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2013 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2011 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2010 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2007 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 15 |
| 2005 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 9 |
| 2003 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2002 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2001 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2000 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 1999 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 8 |
| 1998 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 1997 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
Over 477 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Stenhousemuir drew 114 where the draw model expected 110.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 105.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.