What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 15 Mar 2008 → 26 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 13 Jan 2007 → 03 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 08 Dec 2007 → 16 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 17 Apr 2007 → 25 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 01 Sep 2007 → 22 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 24 Mar 2007 → 09 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 10 Oct 2006 → 04 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 19 Sep 2006 → 03 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 15 Aug 2006 → 28 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 02 Dec 2006 → 26 Dec 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 92 | 20 | 21.7% | 12 | 12 |
| FA Cup | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 12 |
| 2007 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2006 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1885 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 123 matches (Oct 1885 – Apr 2008), Stafford Rangers drew 26 where the draw model expected 31.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 30.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.