What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 16 May 2015 → 24 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 25 Aug 2023 → 15 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 30 Apr 2018 → 10 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 31 Mar 2023 → 23 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 14 Jun 2019 → 06 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 30 Sep 2014 → 28 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 01 Sep 2024 → 01 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 03 Sep 2021 → 29 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 03 Jun 2011 → 16 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 02 Jul 2021 → 20 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 502 | 120 | 23.9% | 0 | 26 |
| FAI Cup | 187 | 46 | 24.6% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 16 |
| 2022 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2020 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2018 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 17 |
| 2017 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2015 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 24 |
| 2014 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2013 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2012 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2008 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 2 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1953 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 444 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), St Patrick's Athletic drew 100 where the draw model expected 114.4 from those particular fixtures — about 14 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 109.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.