What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 24 Jan 2015 → 15 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 14 Feb 2006 → 12 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 09 Nov 2024 → 01 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 09 Jul 2022 → 08 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 15 Jul 2017 → 14 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 08 Apr 2007 → 16 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 09 Dec 2000 → 17 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 01 Apr 2000 → 09 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 16 Dec 1995 → 16 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 23 Dec 2023 → 24 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 688 | 183 | 26.6% | 1 | 15 |
| Scottish Championship | 504 | 136 | 27.0% | 3 | 12 |
| Scottish League Cup | 84 | 16 | 19.1% | 5 | 6 |
| Scottish Cup | 74 | 20 | 27.0% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2024 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 13 |
| 2021 | 50 | 21 | 42.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2017 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2016 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2015 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 19 |
| 2014 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 9 |
| 2013 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2012 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2011 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2010 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2009 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2007 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2006 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 15 |
| 2005 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 4 |
| 2003 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2002 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2001 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2000 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 12 |
| 1999 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 1998 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 1997 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 1996 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 1995 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 1994 | 17 | 8 | 47.1% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 523 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), St Mirren drew 126 where the draw model expected 125.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 122.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.