What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 31 Dec 2016 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 29 Mar 2025 → 08 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 15 Aug 2015 → 21 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 26 Dec 2001 → 23 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 28 Sep 1996 → 01 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 12 Aug 2020 → 17 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 08 Dec 2018 → 10 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Jan 2014 → 25 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 04 Apr 2026 → 21 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 19 May 2024 → 14 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 795 | 208 | 26.2% | 0 | 22 |
| Scottish Championship | 396 | 117 | 29.5% | 5 | 14 |
| Scottish League Cup | 88 | 15 | 17.1% | 0 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 60 | 10 | 16.7% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 11 |
| 2025 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 15 |
| 2024 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 11 |
| 2023 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 12 |
| 2019 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2018 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2017 | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | 26 |
| 2016 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2015 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 14 |
| 2014 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2013 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 7 |
| 2011 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2010 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 2009 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 2008 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2007 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 11 |
| 2006 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2004 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 11 |
| 2002 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 12 |
| 2001 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2000 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 1999 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 1998 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 1997 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 1996 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 13 |
| 1995 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 1994 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 1971 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
Over 524 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), St Johnstone drew 126 where the draw model expected 127.7 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.