What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 19 Nov 2016 → 14 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 01 Aug 2017 → 14 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 21 Aug 2016 → 01 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 21 Feb 2009 → 04 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 16 Mar 2019 → 21 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 04 Aug 2018 → 16 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 11 Apr 2012 → 19 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 30 Aug 2011 → 01 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 12 May 2009 → 02 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 15 Apr 2018 → 12 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 114 | 29 | 25.4% | 3 | 11 |
| Regionalliga West | 70 | 17 | 24.3% | 6 | 7 |
| DFB-Pokal | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2018 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2016 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2011 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2009 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
Over 125 matches (Aug 2015 – Jul 2026), Sportfreunde Lotte drew 30 where the draw model expected 33.8 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 33.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.