Played 383
Draw % 25.1%
No-draw N 1
Max streak 11 19 Oct 2025 → 07 Dec 2025
Avg top run 8.5 top 10
Draw debt E 0.30
p50 32.0%
p100 28.0%
Draw score 0.139 rank #1,173 Draws 96
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,420 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,639 reached 13 Jul 2017
Rank #14,421 of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated 383 last 17 Mar 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
L L D D D W D L L D W L D D L D L L L L L L L L L L L D D L

Over 300 matches (Apr 2015 – Mar 2026), Sport Recife drew 75 where the draw model expected 83.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 80.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
# Run From → To
1 11 19 Oct 2025 → 07 Dec 2025 ▸ matches
2 9 26 Dec 2020 → 10 Feb 2021 ▸ matches
3 9 11 Dec 2016 → 14 May 2017 ▸ matches
4 9 20 Sep 2015 → 15 Nov 2015 ▸ matches
5 9 23 Sep 2012 → 04 Nov 2012 ▸ matches
6 8 26 Oct 2021 → 28 Nov 2021 ▸ matches
7 8 16 Sep 2018 → 05 Nov 2018 ▸ matches
8 8 24 Jun 2017 → 30 Jul 2017 ▸ matches
9 7 14 Sep 2021 → 14 Oct 2021 ▸ matches
10 7 21 Sep 2020 → 19 Oct 2020 ▸ matches
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%NMax
Serie A 342 89 26.0% 11 11
Copa do Brasil 41 7 17.1% 1 7
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 3 2 66.7% 1
2025 39 12 30.8% 11
2024 4 1 25.0% 2
2023 4 1 25.0% 3
2022 1 0 0.0% 1
2021 50 12 24.0% 8
2020 28 5 17.9% 7
2019 1 0 0.0% 1
2018 40 10 25.0% 8
2017 46 10 21.7% 8
2016 40 8 20.0% 7
2015 44 14 31.8% 9
2014 41 10 24.4% 7
2013 4 0 0.0% 4
2012 38 11 29.0% 9
Matches all results ›