What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 17 Apr 2018 → 19 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 02 Feb 2019 → 22 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 28 Apr 2007 → 03 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 23 Nov 2025 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 29 Feb 2020 → 17 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 15 Apr 2022 → 20 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 28 Aug 2021 → 22 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 14 Feb 2022 → 02 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 04 May 2019 → 13 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 19 Sep 2017 → 24 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 524 | 177 | 33.8% | 0 | 15 |
| Serie A | 114 | 31 | 27.2% | 2 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 6 |
| 2024 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 45 | 19 | 42.2% | 5 |
| 2022 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 2020 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 10 |
| 2019 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 12 |
| 2018 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 16 |
| 2017 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 5 |
| 2014 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 7 |
| 2012 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 6 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 4 |
| 2007 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 11 |
| 2006 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 6 |
Over 479 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), Spezia Calcio drew 155 where the draw model expected 139.8 from those particular fixtures — about 15 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 144.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.