What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 11 Mar 2025 → 01 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 07 Oct 2023 → 20 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 12 Oct 2024 → 28 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 05 Sep 2026 → 31 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 17 Feb 2026 → 17 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 25 Jan 2025 → 22 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 11 Jul 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 04 May 2024 → 27 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 04 Oct 2008 → 10 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 15 Jul 2023 → 29 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 120 | 33 | 27.5% | 7 | 20 |
| Scottish Cup | 58 | 8 | 13.8% | 1 | 5 |
| Scottish League Cup | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 4 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 25 |
| 2024 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2018 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 168 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Spartans drew 38 where the draw model expected 37.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 34.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.